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Patrick E. Guinan
University of Missouri
School of Natural Resources
(573) 882-5908

Missouri Weather Update: Hang in There, a Change is Coming

Patrick E. Guinan
University of Missouri
(573) 882-5908

May 4, 2022

minute read

Another system will move in from the southwest today. This will likely result in multiple rounds of showers over the next couple of days. Predicted rainfall is between 1 and 2 inches throughout most of the state (Figure 1). With soils already at saturation, anticipate run-off and flash floods.

Figure 1 Estimated rainfall through May 7th. Map generated by NOAA http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

The wet rains and cooler temperatures dissipate over the weekend and should set us up for conditions that favor drying out.

Most forecasting models agree that air temperatures will be well-above normal next week, reaching into the 80's (Figure 2). A cold front to the west and warm front to the east should bring some much-needed rain to the west. It is possible we will see some of that rain in Missouri's west and northern regions.

Figure 2 Outlook on air temperature and precipitation for the period May 9-May 13, 2022. Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

Visit mesonet.missouri.edu for real-time weather conditions throughout the state. Image of sun, blue sky, and cumulus clouds courtesy of AlinaMD via Shutterstock

Cover image of sun, blue sky, and cumulus clouds courtesy of AlinaMD via Shutterstock

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REVISED: May 23, 2022